Mitt Romney's steady climb in polls
since President Barack Obama's poor performance in last week's first debate has
raised the importance of the vice presidential showdown, which is rarely a
critical event in White House campaigns.
This time it comes at a critical
juncture, with Romney enjoying one of his best weeks of the campaign and Obama
suffering the fallout from his passive performance four weeks before the
November 6 election.
"This has turned into a
legitimate high-stakes debate because the ground has shifted so profoundly on
the Democrats," said Cal Jillson, a political scientist at Southern
Methodist University in Texas.
"Biden at least has to hold
his own so panic doesn't set in for Democrats," he said. "They don't
want to lose two in a row."
Biden and Ryan, the Republican
chairman of the House Budget Committee, meet at 9 p.m. EDT in the nationally
televised debate from Centre College in Danville, Kentucky.
Romney and Republicans have been on
a roll since last week's first debate, which came just as Obama appeared to be
taking command of the race. A Reuters/Ipsos online poll on Wednesday showed
Romney taking his first lead over Obama in more than a month, 45 percent to 44
percent.
It was one of several national
polls showing the debate helped Romney significantly improve his personal image
and his standing on key issues like handling the economy, as well as bolster
his standing in key swing states that will decide the election.
Democrats have accused Romney of
shifting or misrepresenting his positions on issues during and after the
debate. Biden is expected to be more confrontational than Obama in an encounter
that will include both domestic and foreign policy issues.
"He's going to have to be on
his toes," Obama campaign adviser Robert Gibbs said of Biden on MSBNC.
"My guess is you're going to
see what Mitt Romney tried to do, which is Paul Ryan ... walk away from the
positions that he's held during this campaign and give a much much different,
softer image for the American people," he said.
Democrats accused Romney of
shifting positions again on Tuesday when he told the Des Moines Register that
he was "not familiar with" any specific legislation targeting
abortion that he would pursue. They said he was trying to soften his opposition
to abortion rights to appeal to women.
'A PRO-LIFE CANDIDATE'
But Romney denied he was easing his
strong anti-abortion rights stance. "I think I've said time and again that
I'm a pro-life candidate and I'll be a pro-life president," he told
reporters at a campaign stop in Ohio.
Ryan told reporters in Florida that
he and Romney were unified on the abortion issue. "Our position is
consistent and hasn't changed," he said.
Biden, the former chairman of the
Senate Foreign Relations and Judiciary committees, has much more experience on
the national stage than Ryan, a 42-year-old Wisconsin congressman.
He was a strong performer in the
Democratic primary debates during his failed 2008 run for the White House and
fared well against Republican Sarah Palin in the 2008 vice presidential debate.
But he also has a reputation for
gaffes, most recently his remark that the middle class has been "buried
for the last four years" - the span of Obama's presidency - by a bad
economy.
Obama, in an interview with ABC
News on Wednesday, said he was not worried about Biden.
"I think Joe just needs to be
Joe. Congressman Ryan is a smart and effective speaker. But his ideas are the
wrong ones and Joe understands that," he said.
Ryan's previous debate experience
consists of a few congressional debates in his native Wisconsin. He was happy
to raise expectations for Biden's performance.
"Sure it's a nervous
situation. Joe Biden's one of the most experienced debaters we have in modern
politics," Ryan told reporters. "But the Achilles' heel he has is
President Obama's record."
Ryan's budget plan, which has made
him a hit with conservatives, is likely to play a starring role. Ryan proposes
slashing government spending and creating a "voucher" system for the
Medicare healthcare program for seniors, which Democrats say would leave some
seniors paying more of their medical costs.
"The challenge for Biden, and
Obama didn't do this at all, is to put the other side on the defensive and make
them explain themselves and their policies," said Steven Schier, a
political scientist at Carleton College in Minnesota.
Biden said he has been studying
Ryan's plan during his debate preparations. Democratic Representative Chris Van
Hollen has played Ryan in mock debates, while Ryan has been prepped by former
U.S. Solicitor General Ted Olson.
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